How Much is Enough?
Posted by: Jim Erwin | 09/18/2008 9:11 PM
The United States Treasury has been selling hundreds of billions of dollars in Treasury Bills the past 48 hours in order to give the Federal Reserve System additional funds to pass on to banks, in exchange for worthless securities. This is another lame attempt to once again try and stop the financial market meltdown, which is slowly crippling the world economy into a deep recession.
LEVERAGE
The main problem driving this meltdown train is leverage. Over the past four to five years, most major banks and other financial institutions, with very few exceptions, decided to take advantage of a booming economy and real estate market in an effort to make buckets of money. The highly-educated executives running these companies proceeded on missions to leverage the balance sheets of their respective companies. Yesterday, former SEC Chairman Harvey Pitt appearing on one of the major business networks said that some companies had leverage themselves as high as one-hundred times capital. That's right 100 times!! Imagine having $1 million backing any losses on $100 million in debt instruments.
What these companies did was issue securities tied to trillions of dollars in loans, and sold them to investors. The banks retained liability for any defaults that would occur. Since the banks have limited capital and can't convince any investors to throw more money down the toilet and give it to them. Defaults now surpass interest received on the loans less expenses of the bank causing the banks capital to be erased as the bad loans and investments are charged-off. It's all on the house of cards path.
In some cases, investment banks sold different investments containing the same loans to different investors.
As real estate values continue to plunge, more of these securities become worthless.
GREED
The executives of these once high-flying companies tied tens of millions of dollars of their own outrageous personal compensation to performance bonuses. Their Boards of Directors went along while receiving stipends and stock options as compensation for serving. So much for the independent outside directors.
TAXPAYER BAILOUT
Now, the U.S. Government wants the taxpayer to purchase all of the bad debts and investments from all of these companies, place these worthless investments into a depression type government-bailout entity where the government will then sell the "worthless" assets and recover for the taxpayers whatever money they can.
The institutions that pulled these stunts get new money from Mother Fed and move on.
NATIONAL DEBT
Forget the $10 Trillion National Debt. that number is a joke. Forget about all the stories from politicians about mortgaging your childrens future. We're on our great grandchildren now!!! Depending on who you listen to, Taxpayer-owned (Face it! We own it) Fannie Mae and Feddie Mac are responsible for between $5 and $7 Trillion in mortgages. No, all of the loans won't go bad. Let's see about the rest. AIG $85 Billion (this money is already going down the drain), Bear Stearns $32 Billion, the FDIC is going to wipeout the some $50 Billion it has in reserves.
Doubling the national debt is a grim possibility here. When a gallon of milk costs $10 you'll know why.
FREE MARKETS
If free markets were allowed to work properly the government would leave things alone. The weak fail and the fit survive. When a vacuum develops, new companies emerge to fill the void. (Yes, someone will always be there to collect your mortgage payment. Sorry!)
THE BLAME GAME
Standby for the new edition of the "Blame Game". Yes, let's name that scapegoat. Today, it was SEC Chairman Cox. Tomorrow, it'll be Alan Greenspans's underwear color. Face it, there was no enforcement to prevent this massive leveraging by these so-called genius'. It's not short-sellers, not oil, or anything else. Some very smart people were raising the red flag some time ago, warning that what is now happening, was indeed coming down the road. People like Warren Buffet.
But, nobody listened. Why? Because too much money was being made. Politicians looked the other way, and regulators were'nt staffed to deal with what was taking place.
THE RECKONING
When the dust settles, the F.B.I. and all the U.S. Attorneys' need to haul these crooks in, seize their assets, and provide all expense paid vacations to "Club Fed". Examples need to be made and scores settled!!!


Those sound like Ron Paul talking points Jim. I like it and agree with them.
The worlds financial markets this week were on the verge of a melt down, due to a little known financial security called a CREDIT DEFAULT SWAP. This INSURANCE product/derivative was created by WALL STREET a decade ago and generated huge profits for the financial institutions. The International Swaps and Derivatives Association values this market over TWICE the value of the US stock markets. When the economy started to turn sour, these CDS turned into a nightmare. Bear Stearns, American International Group, Ambac, MBIA, Lehman and major banks, brokers and other financial institutions worlwide were facing a financial DISASTER. The FED bailed out WALL STREET again, however I dont think there was any other way to get out of the the possible collapse of the financial system that might have taken place if the FED didnt act. AS our new President said this week, he would fire the the head of the SEC
it's hard to object to the government's mass bailouts since similar debt-producing methods were put into action to bring the U.S. out of the Depression; maybe we've had a heart for socialism all along...
Sam,
Actually, Credit Default Swaps (CDS) are a side event. It's no different than the baseless "evil short-selling" argument.
CDS derivatives act as insurance againat default of fixed income securities. As a company's finances deteriorate the likelihood of default increases. The CDS prices flucuate based upon events. The counterparties that issues the CDS's assume the risk. (Like AIG has done on about $1.6 Trillion in debt insurance) when a default occurs, the CDS insurer has to pay up.
However, in the end the premise falls back to basic fundementals of a corporate finance. The soundmess of a companies balance sheet!
Derivative trades and short sale practices act like the police. By stripping the clothes off a company and forcing the company to defend its finances ultimately brings out the truth.
With many financial companies there was a tremendous amount of lies and manipulation that has now been uncovered.
Bad loans of all types packaged as investments are the main factor. The reaction in the debt, equity, and derivatives markets is the consequence.
There is a reason why a law known as the Sarbanes-Oxley Act was created.