2008 Presidential Campaign Watch: Romney, Clinton Lead New Hampshire
Posted by: SB Insider | 12/07/2007 3:47 PM
a new poll conducted by Marist University confirms what several other independent polling indicates - Republican former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and Democratic US Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York hold wide leads in their respective party's contests for the presidential nomination.
Romney has a 12-point advantage over his closest opponent while Clinton maintains a large 14-point edge over her nearest challenger.
The poll was conducted this week in the days following the mini-siege at Clinton's New Hampshire campaign office.
New Hampshire is the site of the nation's crucial first presidential primary for both political parties.
Here are the GOP results of the survey:
Romney: 29%
US Senator John McCain of Arizona: 17%
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani: 17%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee: 11%
Congressman Ron Paul of Texas: 6%
Former US Senator Fred Dalton Thompson: 4%
New Hampshire Democrats:
Clinton: 37%
US Senator Barack Obama of Illinois: 23%
Former US Senator John Edwards of North Carolina: 18%
New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson: 8%
This survey was conducted from November 28th through December 2nd, 2007. 1,343 registered voters and New Hampshire residents who are likely to register in time to vote in the New Hampshire Presidential Primary were interviewed. The sample was selected in proportion to the voter registration in each county in New Hampshire and adjusted for turnout in comparable elections. All interviews were conducted by telephone. There are 604 potential Democratic presidential primary voters including 363 Democrats and 241 Democratic leaning independents. There are 505 potential Republican presidential primary voters including 354 Republicans and 151 Republican leaning independents. The results are statistically significant at ±4% for potential Democratic presidential primary voters and ±4.5% for potential Republican presidential primary voters. There are 454 likely Democratic presidential primary voters and 343 likely Republican presidential primary voters. The results for these sub-samples are statistically significant at ±5% and ±5.5%, respectively. The error margin increases for cross-tabulations.
