Tom McClintock - Team Player! / Lesson from the Debate
Posted by: Aaron Park | 05/29/2008 8:05 AM
MEMO TO SACRAMENTO LINCOLN CLUB - FREE THE LIZARD AND MRS. JONES!
CLICK HERE FOR KFBK POLL RESULTS
That's correct - it was Tom McClintock that insisted that the Lizard and Mrs. Jones be included in the debate last night on KFBK. That same insistance has led the Lincoln Club of Sacramento to have a one-man debate tonight.
Having spoken with Terbo(Lizard) a few times, he was quite pleased with the event. So was Suzanne Jones - they replied to me via E-mail.
However, the same can not be said for Doug Ose. Terbo described him as looking angry the enitre time the debate was occurring. This would be conisitent with what I have seen - Ose has looked like he was going to pop at the debate I have seen him at.
Was it because Ose wanted to have McClintock all to himself? Maybe the Lizard and Mrs. Jones were beneath him?
The Sacramento Lincoln Club seems to think so - they are going through with a $150 a ticket one-man show tonight. (the lead article in the Daily News Roundup is all about this)
Everyone now knows about the polling data. Maybe if the Sacramento Lincoln Club invites the Lizard and Mrs. Jones after all, their debate can have the significance of determining the second place finisher. Will the Lizard and Mrs. Jones be included after all? (call the caterer)
Maybe Ose will finally spontaneously combust, that would be worth my $150.
Women's right to vote didn't exist until they fought for it. Blacks rights for equality didn't happen until...
On the KFBK poll:
We all knew that Doug was going to run a dirty campaign and now we have a scientific poll to prove that we were right:
Almost as good as Tuesday's results are going to be!
John
That's cool that McClintock stood up for Terbo and Jones. Having been to a few of these debates, it is clear that for the most part McClintock has a lot of respect for the positions of Terbolizard. I can see why McClintock wouldn't want another name calling match with Ose, It is having a negative effect on their reputations.
I wouldn't mind watching Ose spontaneously combust though.
Excuse me, "Everyone now knows about the polling data."
What are you talking about? I don't know. And I've been following this campaign, and the reporting here rather closely.
Jason,
All the REAL news is broken here on Red County. The McClintock polling was posted over a week ago, but here is a copy of the memo from Dr. Val Smith so that we don't have to go back and find it.
John
MEMORANDUM
5/16/08
TO: McClintock for Congress Committee
FROM: Val R. Smith, Ph.D.
SUBJECT: CD04 Tracking Survey Results.
A telephone survey was conducted among high-propensity Republican and declined-to-state voters within the California 4th Congressional District. The field dates were May 13 - 14, 2008. The sample size of 300 yields a sampling error of less than +/- 5.6%.
Results were consistent with the earlier baseline survey demonstrating an almost prohibitive advantage for Tom McClintock. Among Republicans, Tom’s soft name identification was 97%; his hard name identification was 79%.
Despite the high-expenditure negative campaign waged by Doug Ose, Tom’s favorable-to-unfavorable ratio was a respectable 2:1. By contrast, Doug Ose’s has seen his previous 8:1 favorable-to-unfavorable ratio drop into an upside-down liability with a 41% unfavorable rating.
As might be expected, the vital signs translated to ballot strength. McClintock more than doubled Ose’s vote share with 54% going to McClintock and 24% to Ose. Sixteen percent were undecided, and 5.4% were distributed between the two minor candidates.
The tracking survey also measured attributions made by voters regarding the candidates. Consistent with Tom’s vital signs and healthy ballot share, he enjoyed positive attributions of strong conservative, ethical and honest, solid Republican values, and tough on immigration.
The Ose campaign has, however, tagged Tom McClintock with negative attributions (e.g., carpetbagger). Yet despite the negative attributions, voters are staying with McClintock as the consensus choice in this election.
The strategic decision to position Tom McClintock as the obvious conservative in the race relative to Ose’s more liberal ideology has proven sound. It is difficult to construct a scenario by which Tom McClintock does not capture a plurality of votes, both VBM and at the polls.