Credibility Bomb
Posted by: Jubal | 05/14/2008 9:44 AM
A few minutes ago, I received this e-mail from a PR guy flacking Paul Ehrlich's new book:
If I were the "environmental movement," I wouldn't want Ehrlich claiming paternity. If Ehrlich has been anything, it is consistently wrong for the last 40 years.
The inconvenient truth is Ehrlich is a spiritual father of the Environmental Left, characterized by relentlessly and erroneously predicting inevitable catastrophes unless drastic actions are taken -- and by not allowing those erroneous predictions to be a deterrence further predictions of catastrophe.
Conservative columnist Walter Williams recently highlighted Ehrlich's skill in forecasting:
Dear Matthew,
He wrote the book that helped launch the modern environmental movement. He is one of the most accomplished - and controversial - scientists of his generation. He has counseled governments, appeared in television shows ranging from documentaries to The Tonight Show, and won a Macarthur Genius Award.
Now, exactly 40 years since the publication of The Population Bomb ignited debate and action around the globe, author and scientist Paul R. Ehrlich is back with a new book, The Dominant Animal: Human Evolution and the Environment.
A quick glance at today's headlines tells the story: world food prices at record levels, increasing conflict over scarce resources, the immediate threat of global climate change, the spread of toxic chemicals into drinking water and food, and more. In short, it looks an awful lot as though the "Population Bomb" Paul Ehrlich warned us of in 1968 is now exploding.
In The Dominant Animal, Paul joins with his wife, Anne H. Ehrlich, a prize-winning scientist herself, to examine this growing crisis - from its roots in human evolution to the failure of modern government to respond. It is a powerful examination of how the humans today are creating the world of humans of tomorrow-and what it will take for our civilization to survive.
The Ehrlichs bring us to the startling realization that our domination of Earth has, in part, prompted a period of rapid change the scope of which the planet has not seen since an asteroid hit the earth 65 million years ago.
Paul Ehrlich is known for his provocative and interesting interviews and his cogent explanations of scientific knowledge. The 40-year anniversary of The Population Bomb and the publication of The Dominant Animal in June provides a great opportunity for an in-depth look at Paul Ehrlich's original warning to the planet in 1968, his legacy, and his continuing work to understand and explain the crisis facing our civilization.
Paul and Anne are available for extensive interviews, profiles, or brief commentary in relation to reporting on broader stories.
Copies of the book can be requested by contacting Severn Williams at 510-336-9566 or sev@sevwilliams.com.
Sincerely,
Severn Williams, Island Press
If I were the "environmental movement," I wouldn't want Ehrlich claiming paternity. If Ehrlich has been anything, it is consistently wrong for the last 40 years.
The inconvenient truth is Ehrlich is a spiritual father of the Environmental Left, characterized by relentlessly and erroneously predicting inevitable catastrophes unless drastic actions are taken -- and by not allowing those erroneous predictions to be a deterrence further predictions of catastrophe.
Conservative columnist Walter Williams recently highlighted Ehrlich's skill in forecasting:
In 1968, Professor Paul Ehrlich, Vice President Gore's hero and mentor, predicted there would be a major food shortage in the U.S. and "in the 1970s ... hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death." Ehrlich forecasted that 65 million Americans would die of starvation between 1980 and 1989, and by 1999 the U.S. population would have declined to 22.6 million. Ehrlich's predictions about England were gloomier: "If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000."Why anyone takes Ehrlich seriously, is beyond me.
CATEGORY:
Greeniacs





good catch, Jubal.
Paul has been an inveterate doom-and-gloomer for forty years. Indeed, he was a betting man and he _lost_the_bet_ with Julian Simon about commodity prices.
http://www.overpopulation.com/faq/people/julian-simons-bet-with-paul-ehrlich/