OC BLOG (CA): Penetrating insights from behind the Orange Curtain

 
 
 

Janet Nguyen Seeking OC GOP Early Endorsement

Posted by: Jubal | 01/03/2008 2:05 PM

It's not just a new year, but a new election year...although for the last few years in Orange County, it seems like it is always election year.

Among other things, incumbents are gearing up their re-election efforts, and few OC incumbents are doing more gearing up than 1st District Supervisor Janet Nguyen.

As readers may or may not know, GOP local electeds who belong to the OC GOP's Local Elected Officials Association may apply for an early endorsement. Five have made such a request:

  • OC Supervisor Janet Nguyen
  • OC Supervisor Bill Campbell
  • OC Board of Education Trustee Ken Williams
  • OC Board of Education Trustee Felix Rocha
  • OC Board of Education Trustee John Bedell
This would normally be a no-fuss process for the above electeds, but for Janet Nguyen nothing is no-fuss.

This late December e-mail from Endorsements Committee Chairman Kermit Marsh to OC GOP Central Committee members outlines how the early endorsement process works:

Any such requests for endorsement received more than 105 days before the opening of the filing period will be put on an early endorsement list and sent to all members of the Endorsements Committee and the Central Committee. Any Endorsements Committee member or Central Committee member may request within 20 days that a name be removed from the list. All names not removed from the list during this 20 day period shall be deemed endorsed. [emphasis mine - MC]
What happens to an early endorsement seeker whose name gets the hook from a Central Committee member? Per Marsh's e-mail:

At the Central Committee's next meeting, the Central Committee may also consider any name removed from the list, and may consider withdrawing its endorsement of any incumbent on the list. Endorsements of Republican incumbents removed from the list are granted upon a two-thirds affirmative vote of the Central Committee members voting.
I don't think I'm going out on a limb by guessing that if any early endorsement seeker's name is hit with a withdrawal request, it will be Sup. Nguyen's -- thus setting up a Central Committee showdown between Team Janet and Team Trung. I don't know the two factions relative strength among Central Committee members, but if Team Trung were able to deny her the OC GOP endorsement, it would be a significant blow to Sup. Nguyen's campaign.

The deadline for submitting a withdrawal request to Endorsements Committee Chairman Kermit Marsh is January 12. After that date, a Central Committee member can still make a withdrawal request, but such a request would require an affirmative two-thirds vote of the Central Committee.

Comments

Art Pedroza said:

"For Janet Nguyen nothing is no-fuss."

Are you kidding? What about Bill Campbell?

Campbell endorsed disgraced O.C. Sheriff Mike Carona. He also supported our disastrous O.C. Treasurer, Chriss Street. And he caught flak for supporting John Urell too.

Moreover, there homes in Campbell's district were burned down because he opposed Measure D - which meant that the O.C. Fire Authority did not have the equipment it needed to fight the recent fire in the Santiago Canyon.

Supervisor Janet Nguyen has been an exemplary public official. She has served her constituents very well. She absolutely deserves the early endorsement of her party.

Trung Nguyen is finished. His adviser, Mike Schroeder, has his hands full trying to keep Carona out of jail. And the Vietnamese voters in the First District will NOT vote for Trung. They don't want to lose the seat to Joe Dunn or Claudia Alvarez. They know better!

Team Tran needs to back off of Supervisor Nguyen. How would it serve the OC GOP to have a Democrat take the First District?

Adam D. Probolsky said:

"Team Trung" doesn't exist anymore. He is only running for the sole purpose of paying back some of his massive personal debt from his last losing campaign.

Trung's biggest benefactors, supporters and staff that supported him last time around are preoccupied or otherwise absent. Assemblyman Van Tran does not seem to be overtly supportive of Trung and Saulo Londono his former campaign manager is now working for Curt Hagman in his race for AD 60 against Larry Dick. Just about the only person in any way publicly helping Trung is Mike Schroeder. As far as I can tell, Schroeder's support is based on his interest in winning the legal battle he started. I don't remember ever hearing Schroeder sing the praises of Trung or articulate how he would make a great supervisor.

So might someone, a member of the Central Committee ask to pull Janet's name from the list? Sure. But they would be hard-pressed to make any case for why she doesn't deserve to be re-elected, to receive the County Party endorsement.

Janet's voting record is solid AND she is the number one target of the public employee unions. The party ought to put all our support behind Janet-to make sure she gets re-elected and to keep the seat in GOP hands.

cra said:

I am endorsing Trung for the supervisor's seat.
Art, I think Janet is the one who is finished! She has been nothing but a embarrassment for our republican party.
People around the state still talks about how Janet has stolen the supervisor seat by initiating a fraudulant legal tactics against Trung.
Janet has created a severe division among republicans with her immaturity as a supervisor want a be and she needs to be removed, no later than in this 08 election.

cra said:

Adam D Probolsky, You are not Probably but absolutely wrong.
Janet's biggest opponents are none other than core republicans whom have been underserved by under achieving Janet.
All former friends of Trung are more than happy to take the seat back to it's rightful owner in 08.

anonymous said:

Get real! The same central committee that couldn't even censure the Sheriff is now going to take a stand in a primary against a sitting Republican? If that is the strategy of Trung and his advisor Schroeder, the OC GOP will be an even bigger embarrasment than it is now.

Pedrozabot said:

Lookee, lookee. Baghdad Art vomiting out another mindless defense of his pet supervisor.

Maybe Art can accuse Bill Campbell of being a drunk whose on the verge of divorce and living in his office. Oh wait, Art already dumped that bucket of mud of Chris Norby.

Anonymous said:

"Janet's voting record is solid"

Adam are you serious dude?

One Who Knows said:

Adam, can you disclose to us how much money Janet has paid you over the last 7 months?

She is your client right?

Jubal said:

Art, you completely misread my post. The phrase "For Janet Nguyen nothing is no-fuss" refers to her almost non-stop political difficulties since she took office. You're not going to deny that self-evident fact, are you?

And enough with the Measure D/Santiago fire propaganda. That's a total canard. And your attacks on Bill Campbell are completely beside the point.

Bolsaman said:

Mr. Probolsky:

Boy, if your paid "analysis" is as good as your infamous poll early last year on the 1st Supe Race, then I'd suggest that you take your hard-earn money and retire early from the political consultant business. You've lost all credibility in many people's eyes with this race and the subsequent dispute.

Janet Nguyen will lose the Viet vote, again, which will doom her chances for this next election. Trung Nguyen came out on top with the least amount of money, lowest name ID, and the least endorsements among the four so-called top tier candidates.

The GOP Central Committee should stay out of this dog fight until the dust truly settles, or it risks alienating a lot of folks who are, and will be instrumental with party building operations.


Anonymous said:

Supervisor Janet Nguyen will win re-election in June. The Republican Party Central Committee will rightly and appropriately back this effort and a Republican will hold this seat despite the voter registration numbers. Supervisor Janet Nguyen is a loyal Republican and level-headed Republicans recognize that.

Anonymous said:

Anon at 8:08am,
You're not drinking cool-aid, are you?
Whether you like it or not, Sup Janet Nguyen will face an uphill battle in Viet community. There'll be more than one challenger; they will come out from left and right. If a history lesson serves to remind you then you should look at the Doucher vs. Correa race in 2006. A not-well-known Republican, Otto Bade, cost Daucher's momentum and election. There's uncertainy about Nguyen's electability with many rumors, true and untrue. Challengers arising from the Viet community will be a big factor which no one can poll or predict the outcome. It isn't Republicans or Democrats and it'll be nasty.

BTW, if you think Adam Probolsky's prediction is accurate then you should ask any pollsters for their second opinion. Their answers will surprise you dearly.

Anonymous said:

Janet will face a very tough battle. She will not get 100% support from the Viet community under any circumstance. The hispanic community will largely support a democratic canidate although voter turnout will be important in the hispanic community. Her largest hurdle will be her conduct in office i.e. office remodels,election fraud allegations, a rather benign approach to Viet communist visits, support of OC Tresurer etc. To complicate matters her strongest achievement may be a double edged sword......establishing a welfare/social & health services office in her district. This move has seemed to raise the hackles of some old time conservatives. If you add Trung to this mix; the situation becomes very complicated and difficult for Janet.

cra said:

Trung has integrity, good heart and many true republican friends.... and Janet has none.... other than perhaps ....paid political consultants like Adam Probolsky.

Don't trust Adam said:

Adam Probolsky just does it because Janet's $$$. he is a hire gun and not reliable on any polls in the past.

Anonymous said:

I cannot trust anything Adam P says. He is a paid by Janet and does not disclose this fact. At the same time he touts Janet’s voting record while omitting the fact that she set up a nice little welfare office in Little Saigon, Supported the Treasurer, Supported the Sherriff, took illegal legal defense funds, hired a Democratic Gun Slinger, hired her sister as a "Senior Leg Aide when she has no political experience, I mean the list goes on and on.

Adam P has absolutely no credibility at all. He is strictly for hire. And will do anything to anyone for a buck. Hell I bet he doesn’t like Harmon because Harmon wouldn’t pay for Adams bogus services at outrageous prices.

Adam, I used to like you but now I see you for what you are. I’m going to advise any and all candidates, and public agencies to seek other vendors for the "services you provide".

Your product is tainted. Your credibility is in question. Your conservative credentials are questionable.

cra said:

I agree. Adam Probolsky's service must be avoided. He brings big bag of lies to naive customers. Adam's promises are as good as Janet's bouncing checks.

Anonymous said:

#1 For a group of people that consider themselves educated, there are more than a few of you that can use a third grade refresher course in grammar and spelling.

#2 Show one instance where Janet has said “I support Mike Carona” or “I support Chriss Street”. It’s not there; you’re grasping at straws and doing a pretty weak job of it.

#3 Anon at 8:37, its KOOL-AID, not “cool-aid”. Every red-blooded American knows that.

Anonymous said:

Anon 7:23 PM,

Good grief!

Please stay on the issue which is whether Janet will face a challenger from the Viet community. Adam Probolsky paid too much attention on Team Trung and forgot the rest.

Janet will be the one to lose her job whether from a Republican/Democratic Vietnamese challenger, a Latino candidate, or even from a Caucasian candidate. She is finished.

Select a Red County Blog

MEET THE LOCAL EDITOR
 
 

Recent Comments

11/22/2008 9:23 AM

Anongymous commented about: How Liberal is Gus Ayer?

Mr. Ayer registered as a Republican to be electable in an interim election with no incumbents. He did...
 

11/20/2008 1:39 PM

John Hewitt commented about: The Darrell Nolta Drinking Game

Anonymous, you have an excellent point. Sometimes people become annoyed by a person or event, to the extent...
 

11/20/2008 2:33 AM

meme commented about: Seasons Greetings to Our Friends...

It’s Christmas again!! A time to cherish the beautiful white snow, smiling snowman, brightness of the Christmas décor...
 

11/19/2008 7:35 PM

orange county og commented about: Gang Members? What Gang members?

hahaha kpc veteran kpc is a wanabe gang that started like a pary crew then a gang how...
 

11/18/2008 11:47 PM

Fred Smoller commented about: More Details On Steve Rocco's Catsup Caper

you can see the documentary I made about him at recallingrocco "dot" com....
 

11/16/2008 10:02 PM

anonymous commented about: Todd Gallinger is the fourth member of "Keep Irvine Great"

Ed Anger, Get your facts straight. Its sad how ignorant people can be. The fact that he's muslim...
 

11/15/2008 4:01 PM

Grizzly commented about: Kudos To Chris Norby On CCWs

Disarming law-abiding citizens in the guise of protecting the community is counterintuitive. As you know, law enforcement cannot...
 

11/15/2008 1:38 PM

Blues commented about: Kudos To Chris Norby On CCWs

Just another reason to put on my list of things that need to be fixed in California before...
 

11/15/2008 12:25 PM

F&E Fan commented about: Same-Sex Marriage Advocates Continue Threatening Yes on 8 Supporters

The judges did not invent a right out of thin air, Jubal. They did their job in determining...
 

11/15/2008 12:16 PM

Bill commented about: Post-Victory Observations On Prop. 8

The loud call for opponents of Prop. 8 to “get over it and accept the will of the...
 

11/15/2008 9:05 AM

COTOBLOGZZ commented about: Sociopoly and the Fanny Playing Card Deck

Excellent - perhaps THAT card deck can be used for Sociopoly, adding GM Executives in some sort of...
 

11/15/2008 12:43 AM

Jubal commented about: Same-Sex Marriage Advocates Continue Threatening Yes on 8 Supporters

It's not hysteria, Missy. That would be the tone of your comments here, which are starting to take...
 

11/14/2008 10:58 PM

BigGuy commented about: Sociopoly and the Fanny Playing Card Deck

I have a Freddie Mac playing card deck that was used as a promotional item at recruitment fairs....
 

11/14/2008 10:57 PM

No Dah...Chris commented about: Update on Orange County's Closest Races - Garden Grove, Westminster, Yorba Linda, and SAUSD

Chris Emami, boy you sure daring to stick your neck out by declaring Andrew Do the winner. Any...
 

11/14/2008 9:29 PM

ADP commented about: Moorlach and Norby On CCWs

Mr Moorlach and his part time "law professor" have not been given all the facts. The new "verifiable...
 

11/14/2008 9:22 PM

Missy commented about: Same-Sex Marriage Advocates Continue Threatening Yes on 8 Supporters

"What Kevin is threatening would be the equivalent of seeking out my clients and threatening to make examples...
 

11/14/2008 9:16 PM

PMS commented about: Kudos To Chris Norby On CCWs

The more I read on the current situation of the CCW policy in Orange County the more concerned...
 

11/14/2008 9:09 PM

JDAP commented about: Kudos To Chris Norby On CCWs

Supervisor Norby; Thank you standing up for what's right instead of what is politically correct. Any man or...
 

11/14/2008 7:58 PM

Jubal commented about: Same-Sex Marriage Advocates Continue Threatening Yes on 8 Supporters

What is being attempted is a boycott of businesses owned by people who DONATED to the Yes on...
 

11/14/2008 6:59 PM

Tiki commented about: Kudos To Chris Norby On CCWs

Thank you Supervisor Norby....
 

What We're Talking About